Saxony-Anhalt: Whether AfD quake or tear test - for Merz it will be dicey
According to the election forecasts, one thing is certain at 6 p.m.: The desired constellation of CDU top candidate Sven Schulze and Federal Chancellor Friedrich Merz will be..
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Summary
According to the election forecasts, one thing is certain at 6 p.m.: The desired constellation of CDU top candidate Sven Schulze and Federal Chancellor Friedrich Merz will not come about in Saxony-Anhalt. Also the elections in two weeks have it in themselves of the results of the two state elections on the 20th. In 2018, the CDU raised a double firewall to the left and to the right.
Furthermore, It could fall below 20 percent. But another scenario is also possible: In Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, the CDU is spared a single-digit result as well as a difficult government formation - if it is enough for red-red-green. Scenario 1: Absolute majority for the AfD An absolute majority for the AfD would trigger an unprecedented political quake far beyond Saxony-Anhalt.
In addition, Merz also defined this in the interview and thus supported Schulze’s line in the election campaign: There will be no joint government program and no personnel participation in the government. Although Klingbeil and Bas are still counted as party leaders - but also the critical basis should now focus on the upcoming election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania in two weeks. Whether this succeeds depends on the BSW: If the party enters the state parliament, it is not enough for the AfD to the sole government.
Moreover, In the ZDF forecast, the BSW reached only 4.8 percent.
Cross-referenced from 3 sources.
Factual coreconfirmed by several independent voices
According to the election forecasts, one thing is certain at 6 p.m.: The desired constellation of CDU top candidate Sven Schulze and Federal Chancellor Friedrich Merz will not come about in Saxony-Anhalt.
reliability low1/3 sourcesAlso the elections in two weeks have it in themselves of the results of the two state elections on the 20th.
reliability low1/3 sourcesIn 2018, the CDU raised a double firewall to the left and to the right.
reliability low1/3 sourcesIt could fall below 20 percent.
reliability low1/3 sourcesBut another scenario is also possible: In Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, the CDU is spared a single-digit result as well as a difficult government formation - if it is enough for red-red-green.
reliability low1/3 sourcesScenario 1: Absolute majority for the AfD An absolute majority for the AfD would trigger an unprecedented political quake far beyond Saxony-Anhalt.
reliability low1/3 sourcesMerz also defined this in the interview and thus supported Schulze’s line in the election campaign: There will be no joint government program and no personnel participation in the government.
reliability low1/3 sourcesAlthough Klingbeil and Bas are still counted as party leaders - but also the critical basis should now focus on the upcoming election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania in two weeks.
reliability low1/3 sources
Reported detailssecondary facts, each attributed to its source
Whether this succeeds depends on the BSW: If the party enters the state parliament, it is not enough for the AfD to the sole government.
according to 20 MinutenIn the ZDF forecast, the BSW reached only 4.8 percent.
according to 20 Minuten
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No factual contradiction detected between sources.
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No notable framing divergence.
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Saxony-Anhalt: Whether AfD quake or tear test - for Merz it gets dicey.
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